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Journal of the International AIDS Society

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of the International AIDS Society's content profile, based on 20 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Preferences for PrEP service delivery among adolescent girls and young women in remote villages in Lesotho: a discrete choice experiment

Williams, A.; Strauss, M.; Prunas, O.; Gerber, F.; Raeber, F.; Sanchez-Samaniego, G.; Saavedra, E.; Crankshaw, T.; George, G.; Motlalentoa, M.; Mofilikoane, L.; Mohasoa, M.; Gupta, R.; Sematle, M.; Khomolishoele, M.; Grimm, P.; Ayakaka, I.; Tarumbiswa, T.; Marake, N. B.; Phate-Lesihla, R.; Weisser, M.; Amstutz, A.; Labhardt, N. D.

2026-06-03 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.27.26352981 medRxiv
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Introduction: Adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in southern Africa are disproportionately affected by HIV. Despite increasing availability of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), uptake and sustained use remain low. Existing service delivery models may not adequately meet the needs of AGYW, particularly in remote settings. We conducted a discrete choice experiment (DCE) to assess preferences for PrEP service delivery among AGYW living in Lesotho, a country with one of the highest HIV incidence rates globally. Methods: The DCE was conducted among AGYW (16-24 years) in two districts in Lesotho. Participants completed a series of binary choice tasks comparing hypothetical PrEP service delivery scenarios defined by six attributes: service location, provider type, provider characteristics, provider confidentiality, PrEP product type, and the combination of additional prevention services offered. Preferences were analysed using mixed logit and latent class models. Results: A total of 537 AGYW (median age 19 years, IQR 17-22) were included. Provider confidentiality was the strongest driver of choice, with non-confidential providers significantly less preferred ({beta} = -0.58; 95% CI -0.69 to -0.46). Compared with nurses, services delivered by ComBaCaL CHWs were preferred (0.17; 0.01 to 0.33), while those provided by doctors were less preferred (-0.15; -0.30 to 0.00). Younger female providers were preferred over older female providers (0.20; 0.04 to 0.36). Compared with the daily oral pill, both the 2-monthly injectable (-0.24; -0.39 to -0.08) and the vaginal ring (-1.02; -1.20 to -0.82) were less preferred. Differences in preferences were observed across age groups and districts. Latent class analysis identified two preference profiles, indicating variation in preferences for delivery and product characteristics. Conclusions: Preferences for PrEP delivery among AGYW in Lesotho were strongly influenced by provider confidentiality. Among some AGYW, there was openness to decentralised delivery, particularly through CHWs and community-based models, which may reduce access barriers in remote settings. Product preferences were varied, and not all options were acceptable. Differences by age group and district indicate that no single delivery model will meet all needs. Building on the current standard of care, offering acceptable options in accessible and confidential ways may support PrEP uptake.

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Feasibility of integrating a point of care triage test into routine antiretroviral therapy monitoring in Mozambique: a qualitative evaluation

Myburgh, H.; Saura Lazaro, A.; van den Bogaart, E.; Naniche, D.; Bila, D. A.; Ficher-Cunhete, M.; Ubisse, A.; Pembelane, J.; Vaz, P.; Paulussen, R.; Viljoen, L.

2026-05-25 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353112 medRxiv
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Introduction Viral load monitoring is central to assessing antiretroviral therapy (ART) effectiveness, yet timely access remains challenging in resource-constrained settings. Point-of-care (POC) triage tests may improve ART monitoring efficiency by identifying clients requiring confirmatory viral load testing while reducing unnecessary testing among those likely to be virally suppressed. We explored perceptions of integrating a POC triage test that measures interferon-gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) - a chemokine strongly correlated with HIV viral load - into routine ART monitoring among people living with HIV (PLHIV) on ART, healthcare providers, and HIV programme stakeholders. Methods This qualitative study was nested within a clinical evaluation of the IP-10 POC triage test in two primary healthcare facilities in Maputo Province, Mozambique (2023-2024). We conducted three rounds of interviews with PLHIV on ART who underwent IP-10 testing, and one-off interviews with healthcare providers and HIV programme stakeholders across different health system levels. PLHIV were purposively sampled to capture diverse IP-10 and viral load outcomes. Interviews explored experiences of ART monitoring, perceptions of the IP-10 POC test, and implementation considerations. Data were analysed thematically using an inductive-deductive approach. Results Routine viral load monitoring was widely valued and understood as essential for treatment adherence and effectiveness, but participants described barriers including laboratory delays, access challenges, and health system constraints. The IP-10 POC triage test was broadly acceptable; same-day results were perceived to reduce anxiety, support adherence, and enable timely clinical decision-making. Providers and stakeholders emphasised its potential to improve monitoring efficiency by prioritising clients who require confirmatory viral load testing and adherence support. Concerns were raised regarding test accuracy and the need to maintain confirmatory viral load testing, underscoring the importance of clear communication and client education. Successful implementation would require training, workflow integration, and quality assurance. Conclusions An IP-10 POC triage test could strengthen ART monitoring by enabling same-day identification of clients requiring confirmatory viral load testing and targeted adherence support. By reducing unnecessary viral load testing for virally suppressed clients, it may contribute to more efficient monitoring and support differentiated care approaches. Careful integration into existing ART monitoring algorithms will be critical to maximise impact.

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How nurses spend their time: nurses' experiences and time use for providing HIV treatment under conventional and differentiated service delivery models in South Africa

Lekodeba, N. A.; Pascoe, S. J. S.; Huber, A. N.; Ngcobo, N.; Morgan, A. J.; Ntjikelane, V.; Marri, A. R.; Sande, L.; Shumba, K.; Mokhele, I.; Nichols, B. E.; Jamieson, L.; Rosen, S.

2026-06-08 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355033 medRxiv
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Introduction: Differentiated service delivery (DSD) models aim to reduce time healthcare providers spend with DSD clients, increasing time available for non-DSD clients. We measured nurses' time allocation and explored their experiences with DSD models in South Africa. Methods: We conducted time and motion observations and surveyed nurses at 24 public primary healthcare facilities across two SENTINEL study rounds (09/2022-07/2023 and 11/2023-07/2024). We report median time nurses spent by activity, model of care, and interaction type. Log binomial regression investigated factors associated with high direct nurse-client interaction (above median minutes) and extended work-days ([&ge;]9 hours), and estimated adjusted risk ratios (aRR). Survey questions were related to client care, additional time availability, and policy changes post DSD implementation, with key themes presented alongside illustrative quotes. Results: 176 nurses (88% female, median age 44) were observed for 344 working days; of these, 60 (34%) participated in the provider survey. Nurses spent a median of 293 minutes (53% of their work-day) on direct nurse-client interaction, 89 minutes (22%) on client-support or facility-related tasks, and the remainder on other activities including personal breaks. Time spent per client was similar across conventional care clients (11 [IQR: 8-15] minutes) but ranged between 9 (7-13) to 11 (8-15) minutes for DSD clients; number of direct nurse-client interactions did not differ meaningfully. Nurses at facilities with 2,000-3,999 total remaining on ART (TROA) (aRR 1.56, 95% CI: 1.02-2.37) and in urban areas (aRR 1.43, [1.08-1.89]) had more direct nurse-client interactions than those at facilities with <1,999 TROA and in rural areas, respectively. Nurses at facilities with 4,000+ TROA (aRR 2.22, [1.36-3.63]) and those observed in SENTINEL 3.0 (aRR 1.53, [1.13-2.07]) were more likely to work standard or longer workdays than those at lower TROA facilities (<1,999), those in SENTINEL 2.0 and urban areas. Nurses reported DSD models improved client care (90%), freed up time (60%), and changed clinic procedures and policies (60%). Conclusions: While DSD models did not significantly reduce direct nurse-client interaction time, nurses reported improved client care and gained additional time. DSD impact may vary by facility context. As DSD implementation expands, effective time reallocation may enhance facility performance and provider productivity.

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Determinants of specificity and end-user acceptability of an IP-10-based point-of-care triage test for antiretroviral therapy monitoring in Mozambique

Saura-Lazaro, A.; Adolfo Bila, D.; Van den Bogaart, E.; Myburgh, H.; Fisher-Cunhete, M.; Vaz, P.; Paulussen, R.; Viljoen, L.; Rinke de Wit, T. F.; Naniche, D.

2026-05-24 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353111 medRxiv
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Introduction: Viral load (VL) monitoring is the gold standard for antiretroviral therapy (ART) monitoring. Still, due to limited funds and infrastructure, many people living with HIV (PLHIV) in low- and middle-income countries do not receive timely VL testing. We evaluated the clinical performance and end-user acceptability of a prototype interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) point-of-care (POC) test as a rule-out triage tool to identify individuals unlikely to have unsuppressed VL in PLHIV in Mozambique. Methods: A mixed-methods study was conducted between November 2023 and November 2024 at two primary healthcare facilities in Maputo Province. We enrolled 1,057 PLHIV on ART from stable and specialized risk clinics. Clinical performance of the IP-10 POC test (index test) was compared against plasma HIV VL (reference test; unsuppressed defined as >1000 copies/mL). Socio-demographic and clinical predictors of false-positive results were identified using multivariable logistic regression. Immediate acceptability was assessed through exit interviews on a subset of 43 PLHIV. Results: Among participants (71.7% female; median age 41.4 years), 12.0% had unsuppressed VL. The IP-10 POC test demonstrated high sensitivity (90.6%) and moderate specificity (35.6%). Specificity was higher in clinics treating stable patients (44.5% 95%CI: 39.7-49.3) compared to specialized risk clinics (26.5% 95%CI: 21.1-28.9). The proportion of false-positive results was also higher in patients attending specialized risk clinics. Independent predictors of false positivity included enrolment in a one-stop TB/HIV clinic (aOR=2.99 95%CI: 1.09-8.15), cotrimoxazole use (aOR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.13-4.13), and obesity (aOR=3.47 95%CI: 1.74-6.93). Acceptability was high: 70% of participants appreciated the test simplicity and rapid results, and 95.3% expressed interest in future testing. Most patients preferred finger-prick collection over venous draws. Conclusions: The IP-10 POC test is a highly sensitive triage tool, demonstrating superior performance among stable PLHIV enrolled in differentiated service delivery models like six-month multi-month dispensing. While factors associated with co-infections can reduce specificity, the test's high acceptability and potential to reduce confirmatory VL test demand suggests it could serve as a viable triage strategy for optimizing resources particularly in stable care pathways with a lower prevalence of inflammatory comorbidities. This could enable health systems to reallocate intensive monitoring toward higher-risk populations.

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Low Self-Efficacy and Depression Predict Non-Viral Suppression Among Ugandan Women Living with HIV Using the ACTG Adherence Questionnaire

Atuhaire, P.; Nabwana, M.; Etima, J.; Aizire, J.; Taha, T.; Atuyambe, L.; Owora, A.; Nolan, M.; Fowler, M. G.

2026-06-03 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354671 medRxiv
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Background Studies show 53 to 74% of women living with HIV experience postpartum ART adherence challenges. Viral load testing is a delayed indicator, highlighting the need for culturally appropriate screening tools to identify at-risk women early. This study examined the association between non-viral suppression and constructs within the AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG) adherence questionnaire among women in Uganda to inform timely, targeted interventions to improve adherence. Methods The ACTG was adapted, and postpartum participants completed ACASI or Provider-Assisted Interviews (PAIs). Self-efficacy, social support, anxiety, depression, viral load, and clinical factors were analysed using mixed-effects logistic models over a 1-year period. Results Of 166 women, 21 completed ACASI and 145 PAIs. 4.2% (7/166) were not virally suppressed at baseline, and their non-suppression status was consistent throughout one year of follow-up. High self-efficacy scores were associated with 27% lower odds of viral non-suppression (Odds Ratio [OR], 0.73; 95% CI, 0.54, 0.98). High depression scores were associated with 22% higher odds of non-suppression (OR 1.22;95% (1.01,1.49). Other variables, including age, Body Mass Index, duration on ART, marital status, employment, education level, tap water, and travel time from home to clinic, were not associated with viral suppression in the covariate-adjusted analyses. Median self-efficacy and depression scores were 8 (IQR 1,9) and 1.2 (IQR 0,16), respectively. Focused group discussion data showed high acceptability and feasibility of using the ACTG adherence questionnaire in Uganda. Conclusion Lower self-efficacy and higher depression scores on the ACTG adherence questionnaire can help identify Ugandan women at risk of viral non-suppression in HIV programs. Keywords WLHIV, Antiretroviral Therapy, Adherence, Audio Computer Assisted Self Interview, Viral load

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AIM-PrEP: AI-Agent Driven Multicenter Intervention to Improve PrEP Adherence and Health Monitoring Among Men Who Have Sex with Men (MSM)-Protocol of A Randomized Controlled Trial

Zeng, R.; Zuo, Z.; Yu, H.; Jin, Y.; Wang, Y.; Lv, H.; Wang, G.; Zhang, N.; He, H.; Huang, X.; Zhang, X.; Su, Q.; Xu, J.

2026-06-04 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354777 medRxiv
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Background: Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has demonstrated a significant reduction in HIV infections among men who have sex with men (MSM), however, low medication adherence hinders its preventative effectiveness. Traditional approaches, such as health education and face-to-face inquiry (HEF), have demonstrated certain efficacy in improving PrEP adherence. However, these methods are resource-intensive and often plagued by delays, rendering timely and precise interventions challenging. This randomized controlled trial aims to assess the effectiveness of an intervention comprising AI-chatbot for PrEP (PrEP-bot) and Smart pillbox (SPB) (PrEP-bot-SPB) strategy to improve PrEP adherence among MSM compared to HEF.Methods and analysis: A three-arm, multicenter, open-lable RCT will be conducted with Chinese MSM [&ge;]18 years. A total of 300 participants will be recruited through three sources, including hospitals, community-based organizations (CBOs) and peer referral in five cities: Shenzhen, Beijing, Qingdao, Hangzhou and Zhengzhou. After completing baseline survey, participants will be randomized evenly into interventions or control groups: the PrEP-bot group, the PrEP-bot-SPB group, and the HEF control group. Participants in the PrEP-bot group will be granted access to an AI-chatbot agent through WeChat. This agent will: 1) generate personalized PrEP medication plans; 2) provide medication reminders and PrEP-related health check-ups notifications; 3) inquire about missed doses to deliver tailored interventions; 4) answer participant questions about PrEP using guideline-based knowledge. Participants in the PrEP-bot-SPB group will receive both the SPB and the PrEP-bot interventions. SPB could delivers medication reminders. Participants in HEF group will receive a health education pamphlet introducing PrEP and knowledge related to PrEP medication adherence at baseline and face-to-face inquiry every three months. Outcomes will be assessed for both short-term and medium-to-long-term effects. The primary objective is the effectiveness in improving PrEP adherence measured by self-report, Eight-Item Morisky medication adherence scale (MMAS-8) and concentration of Tenofovir in dried blood spots (DBS) (PrEP adherence [&ge;]90%) at 3 months follow-up. Secondary outcomes include: 1) effectiveness in preventing HIV infection measured by HIV-self test (HIVST); 2) effectiveness of PrEP-related health check-ups; 3) the effectiveness, feasibility, acceptability, and user satisfaction with the PrEP-bot; 4) effectiveness in improving PrEP adherence at 6-month, 9-month and 12-month follow-up periods. All participants will receive quarterly follow-up visits during the 12-month study period. Intention-to-treat analysis and per protocol set (PPS) analysis will be used.Results: Recruitment and enrollment of participants began in January 2026 and is currently ongoing.Discussion: This study is expected to establish a novel AI-based intervention model for PrEP, providing innovative strategies for HIV control among MSM populations. If the PrEP-bot is proven non-inferior to HEF, it could offer users real-time, precise, and personalized interventions while simultaneously addressing PrEP-related inquiries and health check-ups reminders. Importantly, this approach would achieve significant reductions in resource requirements for implementation and maintenance and be more cost-effective. With the ongoing advancement of AI technologies, PrEP-bot holds substantial promise for widespread implementation in PrEP adherence, potentially revolutionizing HIV prevention for MSM in China through this innovative intervention modality.Trial registration: ChiCTR2500111280 (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry). Date of registration: 29 October 2025.

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Advanced HIV disease and treatment-related adverse drug reactions among people living with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy in Tanzania: a multicenter cross-sectional study

Mutagonda, R. F.; Kibanga, W. A.; Mikomangwa, W. P.; Kamuhabwa, A. A.

2026-06-02 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.30.26354502 medRxiv
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Background: Advanced HIV disease (AHD) remains a major contributor to HIV-related morbidity and mortality despite widespread antiretroviral therapy (ART) access in sub-Saharan Africa. Although treatment-related adverse drug reactions (ADRs) may compromise treatment outcomes, evidence on the relationship between AHD and ADR occurrence remains limited. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and identify factors associated with AHD, characterize treatment-related ADR and assess the association between AHD and ADR occurrence among people living with HIV receiving ART in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Methods: We conducted a multicenter cross-sectional study among 1,513 people living with HIV receiving ART at selected HIV care and treatment clinics in Dar es Salaam, TanzaniaFor this adolescent/adult cohort, AHD was operationally defined as WHO clinical stage III/IV disease and/or baseline CD4 count <200 cells/mm3. Treatment-related ADRs were defined as participant-reported and/or clinically documented ART-related adverse events identified during routine HIV care, including both current and retrospectively reported events. Modified Poisson regression with robust standard errors was used to estimate crude and adjusted risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Among 1,508 participants with sufficient information for classification, 961 (63.7%) had AHD. Factors independently associated with AHD included age [&ge;]50 years (aRR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.20), underweight nutritional status (aRR 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.35), and concomitant medication use (aRR 1.19, 95% CI 1.03-1.37), while DTG-based ART was associated with lower AHD prevalence (aRR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68-0.90). Overall, 569 participants (38.0%) reported at least one ADR. Composite AHD was not independently associated with ADR occurrence (aRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82-1.11), but baseline CD4 <200 cells/mm3 was associated with increased ADR risk (aRR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02-1.41). Comorbidity (aRR 1.66, 95% CI 1.42-1.93) was the strongest correlate of ADR occurrence. Conclusion: AHD remains highly prevalent among people living with HIV receiving ART in Tanzania. While composite AHD was not independently associated with ADR occurrence, severe immunosuppression, comorbidity burden, and concomitant medication exposure were associated with increased ADR risk. These findings suggest that immunologic severity and broader clinical complexity may be more informative predictors of ART-related toxicity than composite syndromic AHD classification alone. Strengthened early diagnosis, differentiated advanced HIV care, integrated pharmacovigilance strategies, and routine medication risk assessment are needed.

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Examining Migration, Social Bonds, Transnationalism, and HIV Prevention Pathways Among African Immigrants (MiST-Pathways): A Study Protocol

Aidoo-Frimpong, G.; Oduro, M. A.; Kamara, P.; Smith, D.

2026-05-28 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354266 medRxiv
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Background African immigrants in the United States bear a disproportionate HIV burden, with incidence approximately sixfold higher than the general population, yet remain largely absent from targeted prevention research. HIV vulnerability among this population is mediated through relationship and family systems that are restructured by migration, reorganizing household composition, gender norms, trust, and communication patterns through which prevention engagement occurs. Despite this, migration has rarely been examined as a force that transforms the relational contexts shaping engagement with HIV testing, HIV self-testing (HIVST), and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). Methods The MiST-Pathways Study will use a sequential mixed-methods, community-based pilot design among first-generation African immigrant adults (ages 18-50) residing in New York and Massachusetts. The study will proceed in three phases: Aim 1 will use semi-structured interviews (n = 15) and a structured survey (n = 75) to identify relationship typologies and migration-related relational mechanisms influencing HIV prevention engagement; Aim 2 will employ Palava Hut Conversations (PHC) (an African-centered deliberative method) with up to 30 participants to co-develop and prioritize relationship-tailored intervention components; and Aim 3 will conduct a proof-of-concept assessment of the prioritized component using a single-group pre-post design (n = 24), incorporating surveys and cognitive interviews to assess feasibility, acceptability, and preliminary evidence of mechanism activation. All activities will be conducted virtually via Zoom and WhatsApp, with eligibility screening administered through REDCap. The study has been approved by the University at Buffalo Institutional Review Board (STUDY00010347) and registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT07565584). Discussion This protocol outlines the planned evaluation of a sequentially designed, community-engaged pilot study to examine how migration reshapes relational contexts that influence HIV prevention decision-making among African immigrants. Findings will inform the development of culturally grounded, relationship-tailored prevention strategies and the design of a future, larger-scale intervention study.

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Real-World Validation of Machine Learning Models for HIV Treatment Adherence Prediction and Care Gap Quantification: A Multi-Country Analysis of 192,732 Clinical Records

Chinthala, L. K.

2026-05-19 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.15.26353325 medRxiv
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Delayed diagnosis and poor antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence remain primary drivers of HIV-related morbidity in low-resource settings, yet real-world AI validation at scale is lacking. We conducted a retrospective validation study using two publicly available, de-identified datasets: a Quality of Care cohort of 27,288 HIV-positive patients on ART across multiple healthcare facilities, and the CEPHIA multi-country assay database comprising 165,444 specimen records from six countries. Four machine learning classifiers were evaluated using 10-fold stratified cross-validation with SMOTE applied strictly to training folds. Explicit data leakage prevention, ablation analysis, calibration assessment, and bootstrap confidence intervals were applied. Economic projections used one-way sensitivity analysis. This study adheres to TRIPOD reporting guidelines. Random Forest achieved AUC-ROC of 0.9753 (95% CI: 0.970-0.975), sensitivity 87.3% (95% CI: 86.4-88.2%), specificity 95.7% (95% CI: 95.2-96.2%), and Brier score 0.079. Ablation testing confirmed robustness (AUC 0.963 without the primary predictor). Temporal validation on held-out future patients yielded AUC 0.772 (95% CI: 0.744-0.802), confirming generalisation across time. Real-world analysis revealed median diagnosis-to-ART delay of 74 days, with 47.3% of patients exceeding 90 days and 36.7% presenting with CD4 below 200 cells per microlitre. Multi-country CEPHIA analysis identified 18.6% HIV recency within the 130-day early-intervention window. Decision curve analysis confirmed net clinical benefit across threshold probabilities 0.03-0.45. Subgroup analysis demonstrated consistent AUC across sex, age, CD4 strata, and WHO staging (max difference 0.051). Economic modelling projected base-case savings of USD 415 per patient (USD 2.07 million per 5,000-patient cohort). These findings provide large-scale empirical evidence that AI-driven informatics can predict ART adherence failure and quantify systemic care gaps, offering a scalable framework for equitable HIV care delivery in resource-limited settings. Prospective external validation is required before clinical deployment.

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Snip Happens: A Retrospective Study of Vasectomy and Birth rates in Australia

Janetzki, J.; Modi, N.; Varney, B.; Pratt, N.; Ward, M.; Wiese, M.; Lim, R.; Kalisch Ellett, L.

2026-06-05 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354864 medRxiv
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Background Fertility rates in Australia have been declining over recent decades, reaching a record low total fertility rate of 1.48 births per woman in 2024. Concurrently, vasectomy remains widely accessible and increasingly normalised as a permanent contraceptive option. Despite extensive commentary on falling birth rates, no contemporary Australian study has examined vasectomy rates relative to birth rates over time. We aimed to compare population level vasectomy and birth rates across Australian jurisdictions and age groups. Study design Nationwide retrospective time-series study. Retrospective population-based study using Medicare Benefits Schedule item 37623 to identify vasectomy procedures performed between July 2015 and December 2024. Rates were calculated per 100,000 male population using quarterly Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population estimates and summarised as rolling 12-month averages. Birth rates were derived using matched ABS data for women across equivalent age strata (18-24, 25-34, 35-44 years). Results: Vasectomy rates increased nationally from 32 per 100,000 in 2016 to 55 per 100,000 in 2023 before declining modestly in 2024. Birth rates declined from 5,200 to 3,800 per 100,000 over the same period. Trends were consistent across states and age groups, with the greatest vasectomy uptake in men aged 35-44 years. Conclusion: Australia is undergoing a demographic shift characterised by rising vasectomy uptake and declining fertility. While vasectomy rates remain lower than birth rates, their convergence signals changing reproductive intentions and contraceptive behaviours. Ongoing monitoring of permanent and long-acting contraception is essential to understand evolving population dynamics and inform reproductive health policy.

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Genital Inflammatory Responses in Women Living with HIV Randomized to Copper or Levonorgestrel Intrauterine Contraceptives: A secondary analysis of a randomized trial

Happel, A.-U.; Passmore, J.-A. S.; Sinkala, M.; Jaumdally, S.; Gamieldien, H.; Hu, N.-C.; Langwenya, N.; Jones, H. E.; Hoover, D.; Myer, L.; Todd, C.

2026-05-26 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353969 medRxiv
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Background: Intrauterine contraceptives (IUCs) are effective, but effects on genital inflammation among women living with HIV (WLHIV) by antiretroviral therapy (ART) use are unclear. We evaluated the longitudinal effects of copper IUC (C IUC) and the levonorgestrel intrauterine system (LNG IUS) on cervicovaginal cytokine profiles in a secondary analysis of a randomized trial (NCT01721798, 2013 to 2016). Methods: Cervicovaginal secretions were collected from 100 WLHIV (non ART users; ART users) randomized 1:1 to C IUC or LNG IUS. Twenty eight cytokines were measured prior to insertion and 3 and 6 months post insertion. Cytokine concentrations at each follow up visit were compared with baseline, using participant fixed effects models stratified by ART status. Results: At enrolment, non ART users had higher average concentrations of most cytokines (21/28) than women using ART. Among non-ART users, IUC use was not associated with cytokine increases; only MCP1 increased significantly at 3 months among C IUC users (log10 geometric mean ratio 0.77, 95%CI 0.38 to 1.17), while none increased with LNG IUS use. Among ART users, C IUC insertion resulted in broad and sustained cytokine increases at both 3 (16/28) and 6 months (15/28). At month 3, the largest increases in log10 geometric mean were observed for IL6 (1.04, 0.72 to 1.36), RANTES (0.97, 0.54 to 1.40), MCP1 (0.71, 0.46 to 0.96), MIP1; (0.66, 0.37 to 0.94), and GCSF (0.63, 0.36 to 0.89), which was maintained until month 6. Cytokine changes following LNG IUS insertion were minimal (IL5, month 3). Conclusions: Among ART users, C IUC is associated with increases in cervicovaginal cytokines, across functional classes. This supports LNG IUS as a less inflammatory option for WLHIV to minimize genital immune activation.

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An estimation of the health-cost of unfilled medical positions in Malawi: A Thanzi La Onse Mathematical Modelling study.

Perinpakumar, A.; She, B.; Mangal, T.; Mohan, S.; Chalkley, M.; Colbourn, T.; Collins, J. H.; Graham, M. M.; Janouskova, E.; Nkhoma, D.; Twea, P. D.; Phillips, A. N.; Revill, P.; Tamuri, A. U.; Mfutso-Bengo, J.; Hallett, T. B.; Molaro, M.

2026-06-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.25.26353761 medRxiv
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Background Malawis healthcare system faces strain due to an insufficient number of healthcare workers (HCWs). The number of HCWs currently employed falls below the Malawian governments own facility-based staffing standards, which are known as the establishment target. While vacancy rates from this target have been estimated, the health consequences of this workforce gap on the population have not. Methods This study quantifies the health-cost of unfilled establishment HCW positions using the Thanzi La Onse (TLO) model, an "all diseases - whole healthcare system" individual-based model, which self-consistently accounts for the dynamics between health system constraints and population health. We constructed two staffing scenarios: one (Current) in which the currently employed staff are represented, and another (Target) where all positions planned under the establishment target are filled. Using the TLO model, we then estimate the health impact of filling all establishment positions as the difference in the Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) incurred between the two scenarios. Results Our results indicate that fulfilling Target positions could reduce the health losses by 13.6% (43.1 million DALYs averted, 95% CI: 40.8-48.6) over the projection period. The largest proportional reductions are for DALYs caused by HIV/AIDS (41%), tuberculosis (26%), and malaria (24%) compared to the Current provision. Conclusions The analysis shows the potential health benefits associated with increasing the fulfilment of establishment positions in Malawi and offers key quantifications for policymakers as they strive to achieve Universal Health Coverage.

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Declining but increasingly concentrated HIV stigma in rural Uganda: population-based cohort study, 2014-2024

Tsai, A. C.; Baguma, C.; Ahereza, P.; Ashaba, S.; Ayebare, P.; Bangsberg, D. R.; Comfort, A. B.; Gumisiriza, P.; Juliet, M.; Kananura, J.; Kiconco, A.; Kyokunda, V.; Lukwago, P.; Mushavi, R. S.; Namara, E. B.; Perkins, J. M.; Rasmussen, J. M.; Satinsky, E. N.; Siedner, M. J.; Tweheyo, B. M.; Kakuhikire, B.

2026-05-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.08.26352137 medRxiv
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BackgroundHIV-related stigma remains a primary barrier to the elimination of the HIV epidemic worldwide. No studies have examined long-term changes in the distribution of stigmatizing attitudes within populations. MethodsWe conducted a whole-population, open cohort study of adults in 8 villages in rural southwestern Uganda, with 5 biennial surveys spanning 2014-2024 (N=1,776 at baseline; 869 participated in all waves). We measured individual negative attitudes toward people with HIV ("public stigma") and perceptions of negative attitudes among others ("perceived stigma") using parallel 15-item scales. We estimated mean stigma scores, computed inequality measures at each wave, and decomposed inequality by sociodemographic characteristics. Leveraging the cohort design, we estimated intraclass correlation coefficients and rank-order stability over time. ResultsBoth public and perceived stigma declined substantially from baseline to endline and became concentrated in an increasingly smaller subgroup of the population. Theil decomposition failed to identify any stratifying variables that explained more than 3% of this variation: nearly all the inequality in HIV stigma occurred within population subgroups rather than between them. In longitudinal analyses, public stigma showed trait-like properties (intraclass correlation coefficient=0.35; 95% CI, 0.31-0.38) and meaningful rank-order stability (baseline-to-endline r=0.41). Perceived stigma showed no rank-order stability, no appreciable between-person variance, and universal convergence to low levels regardless of baseline. ConclusionsBoth public and perceived HIV stigma declined substantially in this rural Ugandan population, but remaining public stigma has become concentrated within a persistent minority. Sociodemographic profiling to target individuals who carry persistently negative attitudes toward people with HIV is unlikely to succeed.

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Systematic Analysis of Housing Referral Outcomes in New York City's WholeYouNYC Social Care Network: Identifying Barriers to Service Connection

Conde, F.

2026-05-22 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353634 medRxiv
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Background: Health-related social needs (HRSNs), particularly housing instability, are significant drivers of poor health outcomes among Medicaid populations. New York State's Social Care Networks (SCNs) aim to systematically connect members to housing services through coordinated referral systems. However, limited systematic analysis of referral patterns hinders quality improvement efforts. We analyzed housing referral outcomes and workflows to identify barriers to successful service connections. Methods: We conducted a mixed-methods quality improvement study at Public Health Solutions' WholeYouNYC SCN Coordination Center. Quantitative analysis examined 4,258 housing referrals submitted between June 2025 and January 2026, extracted from the Unite Us platform via Power BI dashboard. We calculated acceptance rates, analyzed time metrics, and examined outcomes by receiving organization. Qualitative data were collected through structured consultations with 7 staff members (5 navigators, 2 supervisors) and review of internal workflow documentation. Process mapping identified workflow bottlenecks. Results: Of 4,258 housing referrals, only 45% (n=1,936) were accepted by receiving organizations, while 19% (n=815) were rejected and 32% (n=1,382) remained awaiting response with no recorded action. Average time to acceptance was 8 days for accepted referrals. Acceptance rates were consistent across top receiving organizations (44-46%), suggesting systemic rather than partner-specific barriers. Analysis of unresolved referrals revealed prolonged cases, with the longest pending 271 days. Three critical workflow bottlenecks were identified: CBO response delays, missing housing documentation, and challenges with client engagement. Conclusions: Low housing connection rates (45%) and prolonged unresolved referrals (up to 271 days) indicate systemic barriers requiring interventions at multiple levels. Recommendations include establishing CBO response time benchmarks, implementing automated follow-up protocols, standardizing documentation requirements, and enhancing real-time data monitoring. These findings provide an evidence-based framework for quality improvement in social care coordination programs.

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Community awareness, access, and experiences of cervical screening following universal access to self-collection in Australia

Jennett, C. J.; Bavor, C.; Saunders, T.; Whop, L. J.; Mitchell, L. E.; Canfell, K.; Taylor, N.; Velentzis, L.; Egger, S.; Brotherton, J. M.; Nightingale, C.; Smith, M. A.

2026-05-17 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.12.26353060 medRxiv
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Background Since July 2022, Australian National Cervical Screening Guidelines have recommended anyone eligible for cervical screening be offered the choice between having their sample collected by a clinician with a speculum, or self-collection using a vaginal swab. Method We recruited screen-eligible people to an online survey between December 2023 and April 2024, via a paid social media (Meta) campaign, and stakeholder and community networks. Using binary logistic regression, we assessed demographic and screening history factors associated with having previously heard of self-collection. In participants screened since July-2022, we assessed factors associated with being offered a choice between self-collection and clinician-collection; choosing self-collection (among those offered choice); and using self-collection (among all recently screened participants). Results Of the 9,928 participants, 70.2% had heard of self-collection. Among those screened since July 2022, 36.1% were offered a choice in screening method. Awareness was associated with increasing age (p-trend <0.001), with participants aged >65 years most likely to have heard of self-collection (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.69, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.31-2.18). Compared to participants who self-reported regularly attending cervical screening, both not-regular and never screeners (based on self-reported screening history, frequency, age and sexual history) were less likely to have heard of self-collection (aOR:0.80 [95%CI:0.72-0.89] and aOR:0.73 [95%CI:0.56-0.96], respectively; p<0.001). Participants who attended a specialised womens/sexual health clinic were more likely to have heard of self-collection (aOR:1.32 (95%CI:1.06-1.64), p;<0.001), and to report being offered choice (aOR:1.62 (95%CI 1.22-2.14), p<0.001) at their last cervical screen. Half of the participants who were offered a choice opted for self-collection (N=803/1,617; 49.7%). Not-regular screeners were twice as likely (aOR:2.31 (95%CI:1.74-3.07), p<0.001) to choose self-collection as regular-screeners. Conclusion Given almost 50% of women nationally are now choosing self-collection, these findings imply national uptake might be close to plateauing overall. In high income settings where a choice in screening methods is introduced with the aim of improving screening equity, resources, adequate training, and health promotion tools should be provided prior to program launch to support healthcare providers in offering choice and facilitate improved participation in screening programs. Raising community awareness of screening options is important and needs to reach under-screened groups.

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Experimental human pneumococcal carriage in adults with HIV in Malawi

Doherty, K.; Chirwa, A.; Nsomba, E.; Nkhoma, V.; Galafa, B.; Kadzanja, G.; Mailboy, M.; Mangtani, E.; Songolo, S.; Lipunga, G.; Sigoloti, A.; Mkwandawire, C.; Kamanga, M. P.; Toto, N.; Makhaza, L.; Ndaferankhande, J.; Noel, A. R.; Al-Habbal, M.; Mbewe, S.; Nthandira, T.; Chimgoneko, L.; Tembo, G.; Harawa, T.; Joseph, P.; Reine, J.; Chikaonda, T.; Henrion, M.; Ferreira, D. M.; Mwandumba, H.; Banda, N. P. K.; Jambo, K.; Gordon, S. B.

2026-05-20 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.13.26353107 medRxiv
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Background: People living with HIV (PLHIV) in sub-Saharan Africa exhibit high rates of pneumococcal carriage compared to HIV-uninfected adults, despite antiretroviral therapy. We established a novel controlled human infection model of experimental pneumococcal carriage in people living with HIV to understand carriage dynamics in this at-risk population. Methods: Seventy-five virally suppressed and clinically stable PLHIV and 75 HIV-uninfected controls were inoculated with escalating doses of pneumococcus serotype 6B. Carriage acquisition and density were determined by microbiological culture of nasal wash samples collected before and up to 14 days after inoculation. Adverse events were identified by active and passive surveillance. Participant-reported acceptability was established using a Likert scale. Findings: No serious adverse events occurred. Mild adverse events were similar between groups (19% [14/75] in PLHIV, 13% [10/75] in HIV-uninfected; p=0.505). More than 90% of participants reported acceptability with all study procedures. Experimental carriage occurred in 21% (16/75) of PLHIV compared with 36% (27/75) of HIV-uninfected participants (adjusted odds ratio 0.39 [95% CI 0.16-0.91]). Among PLHIV without detectable cotrimoxazole, 28% (8/29) acquired experimental carriage. Carriage clearance rates were lower in PLHIV (hazard ratio 0.44 [95% CI 0.14-1.42]). Interpretation: In carefully selected PLHIV with effective viral suppression and clinical stability experimental pneumococcal carriage acquisition did not exceed that in HIV-uninfected adults, even after accounting for antibiotic use, natural pneumococcal co-colonisation, and sociodemographic differences. These findings suggest that high carriage prevalence in PLHIV in sub-Saharan Africa may be driven more by prolonged carriage duration than increased susceptibility to acquisition. This model provides a platform to investigate mechanisms underlying carriage susceptibility and impaired clearance in PLHIV and to evaluate interventions aimed at reducing the carriage burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Funding: Wellcome Trust

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Performance of an evidence-based risk algorithm to diagnose chlamydia and gonorrhea among pregnant Rwandan women

Sharkey, T.; Nyombayire, J.; Parker, R.; Ingabire, R.; Umuhoza, C.; Bizimana, J.; Mukamuyango, J.; Unyuzimana, M. A.; Mazzei, A.; Tichacek, A.; Allen, S.; Karita, E.; Wall, K. M.

2026-05-21 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.18.26353484 medRxiv
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Reproductive tract infections (RTI) are associated with adverse outcomes in pregnant African women. However, many diagnostic strategies are unaffordable or perform poorly. Here, we assess RTI prevalence and predictors of chlamydia/gonorrhea (CT/NG) in pregnant women reporting vaginal discharge and the performance of our previously published CT/NG risk algorithm in this population versus Rwandan National Guidelines (RNG). From 2017-2020, free sexually transmitted infections (STI) services were provided to residents in Kigali, Rwanda. Medical history and gynecologic examination were done. Laboratory assessments included HIV; syphilis; microscopy for trichomoniasis, bacterial vaginosis (BV), and candida; and PCR for CT/NG. Eighty-seven pregnant women received STI services. Prevalence was 28% for CT/NG, 15% for trichomoniasis, 24% for BV, 39% for candida, and 79% for any RTI. Predictors of CT/NG were age <=25 (adjusted prevalence odds ratio [aPOR]=4.92; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.52-15.90; p=0.008), inconsistent condom use (aPOR=4.86; 95%CI: 0.98-24.10; p=0.053), absence of candida (aPOR=4.23; 95%CI: 1.13-15.82; p=0.032), and endocervical inflammation/discharge (aPOR=4.91; 95%CI: 1.40-17.20; p=0.013). Our algorithm outperformed the 2019 and 2024 RNG (sensitivity: 92% versus 46% and 35% respectively). Pregnant women seeking STI services had high RTI prevalence. Our algorithm performed well. Algorithms tailored for pregnant women and including male partner risk factors should be explored.

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Integrating vaccination with short-term behavioral guidance enables mpox outbreak control

Maniscalco, D.; Robineau, O.; Boelle, P.-Y.; Mailles, A.; Noel, H.; Tarantola, A.; Velter, A.; Colizza, V.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354088 medRxiv
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Background. Despite the decline of the 2022 global outbreak, mpox remains an ongoing public health concern, with persistent transmission and emerging viral clades sustaining resurgence risk. Improving preparedness and response is a priority, yet it remains unclear how best pre-exposure vaccination and community response can effectively limit transmission under realistic conditions and whether behavioral adaptation is critical. Methods. We used a data-driven network model of mpox transmission among men who have sex with men in the Paris region, parameterized with sexual behavioral data and calibrated to surveillance data from the 2022 outbreak. We evaluated counterfactual scenarios by varying vaccination timing, rollout speed, prioritization, and behavioral responses. Results. Here we show that, with respect to the 2022 epidemic in the Paris region, vaccination alone delivered at the observed rollout speed would not have reproduced the observed epidemic decline, even if initiated the day of the first European alert, corresponding to 12 days before the first case was reported in France. Achieving comparable control through vaccination alone would have required more than a fourfold increase in rollout speed. Large-scale and long-term reductions in sexual contacts remain instrumental to limit the epidemic size, although earlier vaccination reduces the proportion of MSM needing to change behavior. In contrast, short-term behavioral measures adopted by the vaccinees, such as sexual abstinence during the 14-day immunity-building period, combined with moderately faster vaccine rollout, (+68% for 50% compliance; +34% for 75% compliance) could achieve comparable epidemic control. Targeting individuals with higher sexual activity further improved intervention efficiency. Conclusions. Under realistic reactive vaccination scenarios, mpox control still requires strong behavioral responses. Combining timely vaccination with short-term behavioral change guidance at vaccine administration offers a feasible path to limit transmission and strengthen outbreak preparedness and response.

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Access to Sexual and Reproductive Health Education and Services Among Deaf Adolescents in Wakiso District, Uganda: A Mixed-Methods Cross-Sectional Study

Ayanga, R. A.; Katumba Muwangala, N.; Babirye, J.; Nkwangu, R.

2026-05-30 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354296 medRxiv
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Background: Persons with disabilities, particularly deaf individuals, remain a largely overlooked population in sexual and reproductive health (SRH) programming globally, with this gap especially pronounced in low- and middle-income countries. Deafness imposes substantial barriers to accessing information and services that are routinely available to hearing peers, further exacerbated in the post-COVID-19 era. This study assessed deaf adolescents' knowledge of and access to SRH education and services in Wakiso District, Uganda, and explored systemic, institutional, community, and adolescent-level factors shaping access. Methods: A mixed-methods cross-sectional study was conducted at Wakiso Secondary School for the Deaf from July 2022 to January 2023. Quantitative data were collected from 70 consecutively sampled deaf adolescents aged 13-19 years using a structured questionnaire. Qualitative data were gathered through key informant interviews (KIIs) with four purposively selected stakeholders and a focus group discussion (FGD) with deaf adolescent students. Qualitative data were analysed thematically. Results: The mean participant age was 17 years (SD {+/-}1.8); 65.7% were female. A large majority (88.6%) had heard of SRH components, and 98.6% perceived a need for SRH education or services. However, 84.3% reported challenges accessing these services at least 85% of the time. No participant had ever received SRH education or services through a formal health facility. The FGD revealed that adolescents' conceptualisation of SRH was narrow, centred on body hygiene and HIV prevention, while service-seeking was reactive and symptom-driven. Five cross-cutting themes emerged from the KIIs and were reinforced by FGD findings: communication barriers; inadequate and inaccessible services; family and community isolation; existing platforms and positive practices; and negative provider attitudes and limited capacity. The school nurse emerged as the sole functional SRH access point for most participants. Conclusion: Despite high awareness and near-universal perceived need, deaf adolescents in Uganda face profound multilevel barriers to SRH access. Structural, psychosocial, and knowledge-related barriers interact to exclude this population from formal health services. Findings call for disability-responsive SRH integration into health systems, training of health workers in accessible communication, community capacity building, and co-design of SRH programmes with deaf adolescents.

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A mixed-methods study comparing digitized versus paper-based tools during the provision of sexual and reproductive health services for young women in Ethiopia

Belayihun, B.; Cutherell, M.; Musau, A.; Abay, F.; Coppola, A.

2026-05-15 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.12.26353066 medRxiv
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Adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in Ethiopia face persistent barriers to accessing quality sexual and reproductive health (SRH) services, including limited information, stigma, and lack of youth-responsive care. This study aimed to compare the efficacy of digitized versus paper-based counselling tools within an intervention designed to address behavioral and structural barriers contributing to low contraceptive use among AGYW, by reframing contraception as a tool to achieve their life goals. The study employed a cross-sectional mixed-methods design, including client exit interviews with 302 AGYW, key informant interviews with 18 Health Extension Workers (HEWs), secondary analysis of service delivery data from DHIS2, and costing data from program records. Quantitative data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and chi-square tests. Qualitative data were thematically analyzed. Digital counselling was significantly associated with higher MII Plus scores (93% vs. 73.8%, p=0.001), client knowledge of side effects, and confidence in discussing and managing contraception. Clients rated paper-based tools as easier to understand, but digital tools enhanced comprehension, goal-setting, and integration of financial planning and reproductive health concepts. HEWs reported improved consistency in counselling, better referrals, and operational efficiencies with digital tools. Challenges included device glitches, limited connectivity, and variable digital literacy, often requiring concurrent use of paper and digital tools. This study shows that transitioning from paper-based to digital counselling tools improved service quality, client engagement, and informed contraceptive decision-making. Higher MII Plus scores and positive client experiences indicate more standardized, participatory, and respectful counselling. Providers reported operational benefits, including easier counselling and improved data management, though productivity gains were limited. Implementation challenges highlight the need for context-sensitive strategies, ongoing training, and supportive supervision during digital integration. Importantly, the findings suggest that digital tools can improve how services are delivered (quality and consistency), even when service volume remains stable.